The market strongly favors Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge Set 1 Winner at 85%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge Set 1 Winner | 85% | +18% | - |
| 2 | Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge | 84% | +18% | $23K |
| 3 | Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 60% | +68% | - |
| 4 | Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge Match O/U 21.5 | 51% | +96% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge Game Spread +/-3.5 | 50% | +100% | $50 |
| 15 | Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge Match O/U 22.5 | 48% | +108% | $2 |
| 16 | Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge Total Sets: O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 32% | +212% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Pohankova and Matilde Jorge in the Caldas da Rainha, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Poha...
This prediction market tracks whether Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge Set 1 Winner is priced at 85%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-23. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 16, 2026 at 10:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Matilde Jorge Set 1 Winner at 85% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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