The market strongly favors Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | $98 |
| 2 | Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | $48 |
| 3 | Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +0% | $34 |
| 4 | Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 82% | +21% | $167 |
| 5 | Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Completed Match | 50% | +102% | - |
| 9 | Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 2 Winner | 50% | +102% | - |
| 10 | Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Match O/U 21.5 | 36% | +182% | $13 |
| 11 | Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Match O/U 22.5 | 28% | +264% | - |
| 12 | Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Match O/U 23.5 | 24% | +308% | $20 |
| 13 | Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 17% | +488% | $500 |
| 14 | Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert BEST VALUE | 8% | +1233% | $189K |
| 15 | Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4% | +2400% | $2 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaitlin Quevedo and Simona Waltert in the Bastad, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaitlin Quevedo' if...
This prediction market tracks whether Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert will occur, with $191K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $191K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 10, 2026 at 10:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Bastad: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Simona Waltert Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $191K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $191K, with $191K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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