The market strongly favors Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Set 2 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $47 |
| 3 | Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 7 | Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +1% | $2 |
| 8 | Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus | 85% | +18% | $72K |
| 9 | Completed Match BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $380 |
| 10 | Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Game Spread +/-2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Ristic and Arantxa Rus in the Tolentino, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Ristic' if Mia R...
This prediction market tracks whether Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus will occur, with $73K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Set 2 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $73K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 21, 2026 at 15:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus Set 2 Winner at 100% probability, with $73K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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