The market strongly favors China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva | 92% | +9% | $2K |
| 2 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva Set 1 Winner | 85% | +18% | - |
| 3 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 Winner | 85% | +18% | - |
| 4 | Completed Match | 52% | +90% | $13K |
| 5 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva Set 1 O/U 8.5 BEST VALUE | 50% | +102% | - |
| 8 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 9 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 10 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 11 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 12 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 13 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 14 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 15 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 16 | China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva Game Spread +/-6.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Alina Charaeva in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina...
This prediction market tracks whether China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 01, 2026 at 15:05 UTC, the leading outcome is China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva at 92% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms