The market strongly favors US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko at 96%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko | 96% | +5% | $14K |
| 2 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko Set 1 Winner | 91% | +10% | - |
| 3 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 83% | +20% | $13 |
| 4 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko Game Spread +/-6.5 | 60% | +67% | - |
| 5 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 7 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko Total Sets: O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 14% | +590% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Polina Iatcenko in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sab...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko will occur, with $14K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko is priced at 96%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 02, 2026 at 02:05 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina Iatcenko at 96% probability, with $14K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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