The market strongly favors Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler | 88% | +13% | $23K |
| 2 | Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler Set 1 Winner | 82% | +23% | $18 |
| 3 | Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler Set 2 Winner | 81% | +23% | - |
| 4 | Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 68% | +48% | $461 |
| 5 | Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 64% | +57% | - |
| 6 | Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler Match O/U 21.5 | 37% | +170% | $75 |
| 12 | Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler Match O/U 22.5 | 32% | +208% | $7 |
| 13 | Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler Match O/U 23.5 | 29% | +245% | $7 |
| 14 | Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 28% | +251% | $75 |
| 15 | Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 20% | +400% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and McCartney Kessler in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabal...
This prediction market tracks whether Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler will occur, with $24K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $23K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 01, 2026 at 11:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler at 88% probability, with $24K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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