US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend | 82% | +23% | $47K |
| 2 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 Winner | 76% | +32% | $46 |
| 3 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Set 2 Winner | 75% | +33% | $22 |
| 4 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 70% | +43% | $36 |
| 5 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 60% | +65% | $853 |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 45% | +122% | - |
| 11 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Match O/U 21.5 | 43% | +133% | - |
| 12 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Match O/U 23.5 | 42% | +141% | - |
| 13 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Game Spread +/-5.5 | 40% | +153% | $1K |
| 14 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Match O/U 22.5 | 39% | +156% | $5 |
| 15 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 31% | +223% | $12 |
| 16 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 23% | +335% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Taylor Townsend in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sab...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend will occur, with $49K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $47K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 06, 2026 at 13:35 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor Townsend at 82% probability, with $49K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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