The market strongly favors US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita Set 1 Winner at 96%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita Set 1 Winner | 96% | +4% | - |
| 2 | US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita | 78% | +28% | $29K |
| 3 | US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita Set 2 Winner | 60% | +68% | - |
| 4 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $5 |
| 7 | US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $26 |
| 9 | US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita Game Spread +/-0.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $11 |
| 13 | US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | $60 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Darja Semenistaja and Hayu Kinoshita in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita will occur, with $30K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita Set 1 Winner is priced at 96%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $29K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 25, 2026 at 22:25 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu Kinoshita Set 1 Winner at 96% probability, with $30K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms