The market strongly favors US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska at 96%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska | 96% | +4% | $22K |
| 2 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 Winner | 94% | +7% | - |
| 3 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska Set 2 Winner | 92% | +9% | - |
| 4 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 88% | +14% | $14 |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 44% | +130% | - |
| 12 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska Game Spread +/-8.5 | 42% | +141% | - |
| 13 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 38% | +163% | - |
| 14 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska Match O/U 22.5 | 38% | +163% | - |
| 15 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 18% | +441% | - |
| 16 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska Match O/U 21.5 | 15% | +567% | - |
| 17 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska Total Sets: O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 12% | +770% | $12 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Nadia Podoroska in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek'...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska is priced at 96%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 02, 2026 at 00:25 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Nadia Podoroska at 96% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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