The market strongly favors US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang | 92% | +8% | $18K |
| 2 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 Winner | 86% | +17% | - |
| 3 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 Winner | 85% | +18% | - |
| 4 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 74% | +35% | $55 |
| 5 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 54% | +87% | - |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Game Spread +/-6.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 12 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 21.5 | 37% | +170% | - |
| 13 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 22.5 | 36% | +182% | - |
| 14 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 31% | +223% | - |
| 15 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Total Sets: O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 22% | +365% | $13 |
| 16 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 23.5 | 22% | +365% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Xiyu Wang in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga S...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (95% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 31, 2026 at 14:25 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang at 92% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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