The market strongly favors China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 90% | +10% | - |
| 2 | China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 58% | +71% | - |
| 3 | China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva Match O/U 21.5 | 56% | +77% | - |
| 4 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $100 |
| 5 | China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $51 |
| 11 | China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva Match O/U 22.5 | 48% | +108% | $9 |
| 12 | China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva Set 2 Winner | 46% | +117% | - |
| 13 | China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva Match O/U 23.5 | 44% | +130% | - |
| 14 | China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 34% | +194% | $2 |
| 15 | China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva | 24% | +308% | $58K |
| 16 | China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva Set 1 Winner | 21% | +376% | $1 |
| 17 | China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 8% | +1233% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Darja Vidmanova and Maria Timofeeva in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darja Vid...
This prediction market tracks whether China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva will occur, with $59K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $57K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-07. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 30, 2026 at 03:45 UTC, the leading outcome is China Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Maria Timofeeva Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 90% probability, with $59K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms