The market strongly favors Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Set 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $455 |
| 2 | Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz | 97% | +3% | $33K |
| 3 | Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 88% | +14% | $12 |
| 4 | Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 10 | Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Match O/U 21.5 | 18% | +471% | $213 |
| 11 | Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 12% | +733% | $52 |
| 12 | Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Match O/U 22.5 BEST VALUE | 12% | +770% | $157 |
| 13 | Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4% | +2400% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Simona Waltert and Leyre Romero Gormaz in the Bastad, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simona Waltert' i...
This prediction market tracks whether Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz will occur, with $34K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $34K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 09, 2026 at 10:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $34K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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