The market strongly favors Ginwoo Onodera at 95%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ginwoo Onodera | 95% | +5% | $2K |
| 2 | Athlete A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Athlete B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Athlete C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Athlete D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Athlete E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Athlete F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Athlete G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Athlete H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Athlete I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Athlete J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Athlete K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Athlete L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Athlete M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Athlete N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Athlete O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Nyjah Huston BEST VALUE | 5% | +1900% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skatebo...
This prediction market tracks whether X Games New Orleans 2026: Men's Skateboard Street will occur, with $30K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Ginwoo Onodera is priced at 95%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $29K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 26, 2026 at 03:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Ginwoo Onodera at 95% probability, with $30K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms