This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arizona | 35% | $1.3M |
| 2 | Michigan | 34% | $1.2M |
| 3 | Illinois | 17% | $1.5M |
| 4 | Connecticut | 13% | $2.7M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 21:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Arizona at 35% probability, with $23.5M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $23.5M, with $487K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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