The market strongly favors Ivory Coast at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 94% | +7% | $28K |
| 2 | Draw (Somalia vs. Ivory Coast) BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | $2K |
| 3 | Somalia | 2% | +5614% | $1K |
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This event is for the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 29, 2026 between Somalia and Ivory Coast.
This prediction market tracks whether Somalia vs. Ivory Coast will occur, with $27K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Ivory Coast is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $26K traded in the last 24 hours alone (95% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 29, 2026 at 10:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Ivory Coast at 94% probability, with $27K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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