The market strongly favors Royal Lasers at 95%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Lasers | 95% | +5% | $1K |
| 2 | Nene Royal | 88% | +14% | $2K |
| 3 | Hundred Fingers | 76% | +32% | $1K |
| 4 | ACRO Crew | 72% | +40% | - |
| 5 | Lai Noelle | 66% | +50% | $1K |
| 6 | Luke Taleno | 62% | +61% | $7 |
| 7 | Rubén Roldán Bustos | 62% | +63% | $162 |
| 8 | Isaac Atkins | 58% | +71% | $160 |
| 9 | Jesse White Tumbling Team | 57% | +75% | $100 |
| 10 | Come Here | 56% | +80% | $640 |
| 11 | Lara D | 55% | +82% | $142 |
| 12 | LaRussell | 54% | +85% | - |
| 13 | Pynk Beard | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Guy Kelton Jones I | 50% | +102% | - |
| 15 | James & Marina | 50% | +102% | $120 |
| 16 | Herwan Legaillard | 49% | +104% | - |
| 17 | Olivia Befus | 49% | +104% | - |
| 18 | Veronika Goroshkova | 48% | +111% | $140 |
| 19 | Brook Lynn | 42% | +138% | $634 |
| 20 | Cameron Logsdon BEST VALUE | 42% | +141% | $130 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21 begins live Quarterfinals on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed act advances to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the...
This prediction market tracks whether America's Got Talent S21: Who Advances from Quarterfinals? will occur, with $12K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by social media trends, industry insider signals, and historical patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Royal Lasers is priced at 95%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 14, 2026 at 04:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Royal Lasers at 95% probability, with $12K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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