No clear favorite. $2.0–$2.25T leads at just 26%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $2.0–$2.25T | 26% | +290% | $167K |
| 2 | $2.25–$2.5T | 22% | +365% | $106K |
| 3 | $1.75–$2.0T | 20% | +413% | $117K |
| 4 | $2.5–$2.75T | 12% | +744% | $82K |
| 5 | $1.5–$1.75T | 6% | +1639% | $119K |
| 6 | No IPO by December 31, 2027 BEST VALUE | 5% | +1823% | $59K |
| 7 | $1.25–$1.5T | 4% | +2173% | $87K |
| 8 | $3.0T+ | 4% | +2532% | $67K |
| 9 | $2.75–$3.0T | 3% | +3674% | $42K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "N...
This prediction market tracks whether Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap will occur, with $956K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — $2.0–$2.25T leads at only 26% across 9 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $23K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2028-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 25, 2026 at 13:15 UTC, the leading outcome is $2.0–$2.25T at 26% probability, with $956K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $956K, with $23K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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