No clear favorite. $1.25–$1.5T leads at just 35%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $5.2M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $1.25–$1.5T | 35% | +183% | $497K |
| 2 | $1.5–$1.75T | 29% | +244% | $613K |
| 3 | <$1.25T | 16% | +541% | $655K |
| 4 | $1.75–$2.0T | 13% | +678% | $827K |
| 5 | $2.0–$2.25T BEST VALUE | 6% | +1581% | $1.0M |
| 6 | $2.25–$2.5T | 1% | +14186% | $490K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "N...
This prediction market tracks whether Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap will occur, with $5.2M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — $1.25–$1.5T leads at only 35% across 6 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $594K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2028-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 11, 2026 at 14:55 UTC, the leading outcome is $1.25–$1.5T at 35% probability, with $5.2M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $5.2M, with $594K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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