No clear favorite. $1.5–$1.75T leads at just 20%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $1.5–$1.75T | 20% | +401% | $33K |
| 2 | $1.25–$1.5T | 16% | +506% | $26K |
| 3 | $2.25–$2.5T | 16% | +525% | $19K |
| 4 | $1.75–$2.0T | 12% | +733% | $15K |
| 5 | $2.0–$2.25T | 12% | +766% | $25K |
| 6 | <$1.25T | 10% | +852% | $36K |
| 7 | $2.5–$2.75T BEST VALUE | 8% | +1127% | $15K |
| 8 | $3.0T+ | 4% | +2532% | $18K |
| 9 | No IPO by December 31, 2027 | 3% | +3746% | $18K |
| 10 | $2.75–$3.0T | 1% | +7592% | $8K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "N...
This prediction market tracks whether Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap will occur, with $215K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — $1.5–$1.75T leads at only 20% across 10 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $15K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 08:45 UTC, the leading outcome is $1.5–$1.75T at 20% probability, with $215K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $215K, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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