No clear favorite. $1.25–$1.5T leads at just 17%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $1.25–$1.5T | 17% | +488% | $2K |
| 2 | $2.5–$2.75T | 16% | +545% | $1K |
| 3 | <$1.25T | 14% | +590% | $8K |
| 4 | $1.5–$1.75T | 14% | +617% | $2K |
| 5 | $1.75–$2.0T | 12% | +770% | $2K |
| 6 | $2.25–$2.5T | 10% | +852% | $911 |
| 7 | $3.0T+ | 7% | +1329% | $956 |
| 8 | $2.75–$3.0T | 6% | +1567% | $972 |
| 9 | $2.0–$2.25T BEST VALUE | 6% | +1639% | $2K |
| 10 | No IPO by December 31, 2027 | 3% | +3604% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "N...
This prediction market tracks whether Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap will occur, with $21K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — $1.25–$1.5T leads at only 17% across 10 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (58% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 12, 2026 at 20:15 UTC, the leading outcome is $1.25–$1.5T at 17% probability, with $21K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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