The market strongly favors Completed Match at 99%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 99% | +1% | $17K |
| 2 | Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate | 76% | +31% | $5K |
| 3 | Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 1 Winner | 71% | +41% | $10 |
| 4 | Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 60% | +67% | - |
| 5 | Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 56% | +80% | - |
| 6 | Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Match O/U 21.5 | 45% | +122% | - |
| 14 | Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 37% | +170% | - |
| 15 | Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Game Spread +/-3.5 | 34% | +199% | $26 |
| 16 | Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate Total Sets: O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 32% | +212% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Felipe Meligeni Alves and Carlos Maria Zarate in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fe...
This prediction market tracks whether Curitiba: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Completed Match is priced at 99%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-05. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 29, 2026 at 10:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Completed Match at 99% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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