Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 76% | +32% | $24 |
| 2 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 76% | +32% | $58 |
| 3 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 58% | +71% | - |
| 4 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 | 56% | +77% | $1K |
| 5 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 55% | +83% | - |
| 6 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 52% | +92% | - |
| 7 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 22.5 | 48% | +106% | $838 |
| 9 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner | 44% | +130% | - |
| 10 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 Winner | 44% | +130% | - |
| 11 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 23.5 | 42% | +141% | $22 |
| 12 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | 40% | +147% | $14K |
| 13 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | +150% | $68 |
| 14 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 38% | +160% | $212 |
| 15 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 30% | +239% | - |
| 16 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 24% | +326% | $9 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Lorenzo Musetti in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matt...
This prediction market tracks whether Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti will occur, with $16K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 27, 2026 at 13:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 76% probability, with $16K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms