The market strongly favors Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | $306 |
| 3 | Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 22.5 | 99% | +1% | $522 |
| 4 | Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 21.5 | 75% | +33% | $372 |
| 5 | Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 75% | +33% | $86 |
| 6 | Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 23.5 | 75% | +33% | $30 |
| 7 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 25% | +300% | $438 |
| 9 | Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrov BEST VALUE | 24% | +317% | $240K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Grigor Dimitrov in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastia...
This prediction market tracks whether Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrov will occur, with $252K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $251K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 14, 2026 at 18:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Cincinnati Open: Sebastian Baez vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $252K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $252K, with $251K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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