Market is split — Ends in Daytime at 50%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 2 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Ends in Daytime | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | O/U 2.5 Games | 49% | +104% | $300 |
| 13 | Game 1 Winner | 42% | +141% | $526 |
| 14 | Game 2 Winner | 41% | +144% | $24 |
| 15 | Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) | 37% | +170% | $803 |
| 16 | Match Winner | 34% | +190% | $100K |
| 17 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 34% | +194% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 34% | +194% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks BEST VALUE | 32% | +217% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 32% | +217% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Aurora and Team Yandex in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage will occur, with $102K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Ends in Daytime leading at just 50%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $102K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-14. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 14, 2026 at 09:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Ends in Daytime at 50% probability, with $102K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $102K, with $102K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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