Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 79%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 79% | +27% | - |
| 2 | Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong Match O/U 23.5 | 71% | +41% | - |
| 3 | Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong | 60% | +68% | $19K |
| 4 | Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong Set 1 Winner | 54% | +85% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $1K |
| 6 | Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong Match O/U 22.5 | 49% | +104% | $400 |
| 12 | Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 41% | +144% | $930 |
| 13 | Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 36% | +178% | $2K |
| 14 | Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong Match O/U 21.5 | 30% | +239% | $5 |
| 15 | Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 29% | +245% | - |
| 16 | Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | $31 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Coleman Wong in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Se...
This prediction market tracks whether Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong will occur, with $23K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 79%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $23K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 22, 2026 at 03:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 79% probability, with $23K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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