First Blood in Game 1? leads at 72%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | First Blood in Game 1? | 72% | +40% | $21 |
| 2 | First Blood in Game 2? | 71% | +41% | $21 |
| 3 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 68% | +47% | $21 |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 68% | +47% | $21 |
| 5 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 6 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 7 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +92% | - |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | O/U 2.5 Games | 48% | +111% | $909 |
| 11 | Game 1 Winner | 38% | +160% | $435 |
| 12 | Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5) | 38% | +160% | $91 |
| 13 | Game 2 Winner | 38% | +167% | $312 |
| 14 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 36% | +174% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 36% | +178% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 36% | +178% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 36% | +182% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 34% | +190% | - |
| 19 | Match Winner | 32% | +208% | $33K |
| 20 | Any Player Ultra Kill BEST VALUE | 29% | +245% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Team Spirit and TEAM VISION in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This mar...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs will occur, with $35K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward First Blood in Game 1? at 72%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $35K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 20, 2026 at 20:25 UTC, the leading outcome is First Blood in Game 1? at 72% probability, with $35K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms