The market strongly favors Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu | 94% | +6% | $10K |
| 2 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu Set 1 Winner | 86% | +17% | $136 |
| 3 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 81% | +23% | $1K |
| 4 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu Set 2 Winner | 70% | +43% | - |
| 5 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 66% | +50% | $58 |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +102% | $15 |
| 12 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu Game Spread +/-6.5 | 49% | +104% | $61 |
| 13 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 48% | +111% | - |
| 14 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu Match O/U 21.5 | 47% | +113% | - |
| 15 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu Match O/U 23.5 | 47% | +113% | - |
| 16 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu Match O/U 22.5 | 26% | +285% | - |
| 17 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu Total Sets: O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 18% | +456% | $225 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Hanlei Lu in the Chengdu Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resol...
This prediction market tracks whether Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu will occur, with $11K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-29. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 22, 2026 at 02:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Chengdu Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Hanlei Lu at 94% probability, with $11K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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