The market strongly favors St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia | 100% | - | $22K |
| 2 | St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 Winner BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $70 |
| 3 | St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia Game Spread +/-2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Ugo Blanchet and Nicolas Mejia in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Blanchet' i...
This prediction market tracks whether St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia will occur, with $23K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (93% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 22, 2026 at 10:05 UTC, the leading outcome is St. Tropez: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia at 100% probability, with $23K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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