The market strongly favors Jingshan: Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jingshan: Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Jingshan: Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Jingshan: Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | Jingshan: Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny BEST VALUE | 100% | +0% | $131K |
| 5 | Completed Match | 100% | +0% | $5K |
| 6 | Jingshan: Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 Winner | 100% | +0% | - |
| 7 | Jingshan: Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 8 | Jingshan: Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 9 | Jingshan: Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +0% | $7 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Dane Sweeny in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt...
This prediction market tracks whether Jingshan: Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny will occur, with $137K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Jingshan: Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $137K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 02, 2026 at 07:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Jingshan: Alex Bolt vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $137K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $137K, with $137K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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