The market strongly favors HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron | 100% | - | $432K |
| 2 | HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $5 |
| 3 | HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | $5 |
| 4 | HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | $1K |
| 5 | HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | $255 |
| 6 | HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | $283 |
| 7 | HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | - | $308 |
| 8 | HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $5 |
| 9 | HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | $5 |
| 10 | Completed Match | 100% | - | $346 |
| 11 | HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $8 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Ignacio Buse and Marcos Giron in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse'...
This prediction market tracks whether HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron will occur, with $438K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Recent trading volume of $31K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-23. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 17, 2026 at 13:35 UTC, the leading outcome is HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron at 100% probability, with $438K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $438K, with $31K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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