The market strongly favors Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner | 94% | +7% | $814 |
| 2 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 68% | +47% | $57 |
| 3 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | 66% | +53% | $117K |
| 4 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 38.5 | 62% | +61% | $56 |
| 5 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 Winner | 55% | +83% | - |
| 6 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 36.5 | 52% | +94% | $34 |
| 7 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 3 Winner | 51% | +96% | - |
| 8 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 9 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 50% | +100% | $11 |
| 18 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $35 |
| 20 | Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'C...
This prediction market tracks whether Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar will occur, with $118K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $117K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 29, 2026 at 12:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner at 94% probability, with $118K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $118K, with $117K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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