Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Set Handicap +/-1.5 leads at 64%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 64% | +55% | $100 |
| 2 | Completed Match | 58% | +72% | $730 |
| 3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $18 |
| 7 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | $29 |
| 8 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Game Spread +/-3.5 | 50% | +100% | $158 |
| 9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 36% | +178% | $165 |
| 10 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 Winner | 32% | +212% | $5 |
| 11 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 22.5 | 32% | +212% | $11 |
| 12 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin BEST VALUE | 12% | +770% | $24K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Ilia Simakin in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to...
This prediction market tracks whether Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin will occur, with $25K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 64%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 08, 2026 at 05:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 64% probability, with $25K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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