Market is split — Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong at 50%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $103K |
| 2 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | $85 |
| 3 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $2K |
| 4 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Set 1 Winner | 50% | +100% | $26 |
| 6 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $2K |
| 7 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | $4K |
| 8 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $2K |
| 9 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $53 |
| 11 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | $49 |
| 12 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | $20 |
| 13 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | $2K |
| 14 | Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | $677 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Choinski and Jesper de Jong in the Estoril Open, originally scheduled for July 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Choinski' if...
This prediction market tracks whether Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong will occur, with $115K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong leading at just 50%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $111K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 21, 2026 at 13:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Estoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong at 50% probability, with $115K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $115K, with $111K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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