The market strongly favors Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | $12 |
| 2 | Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $113 |
| 3 | Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna | 65% | +54% | $113K |
| 4 | Completed Match BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $8 |
| 8 | Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $29 |
| 10 | Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $20 |
| 14 | Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommaso Compagnucci and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Sion, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommaso Co...
This prediction market tracks whether Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna will occur, with $113K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $113K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 20, 2026 at 10:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $113K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $113K, with $113K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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