Market is split — Both Teams Beat Roshan at 56%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 56% | +79% | - |
| 2 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 53% | +89% | - |
| 3 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +90% | - |
| 4 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +90% | - |
| 5 | Ends in Daytime | 52% | +90% | - |
| 6 | Game 2 Winner | 52% | +92% | $10 |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 52% | +94% | - |
| 8 | Game 1 Winner | 51% | +96% | $32 |
| 9 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | O/U 2.5 Games | 50% | +102% | - |
| 11 | Match Winner | 48% | +106% | $15K |
| 12 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 32% | +212% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 32% | +212% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 28% | +251% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 28% | +251% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 27% | +270% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 27% | +270% | - |
| 18 | Game Handicap: IW (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5) BEST VALUE | 26% | +285% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Rampage | 26% | +285% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Rampage | 26% | +285% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Iron Wing and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This m...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs will occur, with $14K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Both Teams Beat Roshan leading at just 56%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 17, 2026 at 09:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Both Teams Beat Roshan at 56% probability, with $14K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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