The market strongly favors Ends in Daytime at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $4.8M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ends in Daytime | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Ends in Daytime | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | First Blood in Game 2? | 100% | - | $173 |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $70 |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $216 |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $10 |
| 8 | Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5) | 100% | - | $167 |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $10 |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $5 |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $10 |
| 12 | Ends in Daytime BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Rampage | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Iron Wing and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This m...
This prediction market tracks whether Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs will occur, with $4.8M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Ends in Daytime is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $38K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-20. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 21, 2026 at 07:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Ends in Daytime at 100% probability, with $4.8M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $4.8M, with $38K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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