The market strongly favors National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $2.4M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo | 100% | - | $2.4M |
| 2 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $2K |
| 3 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 2 Winner BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $317 |
| 6 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $81 |
| 7 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $470 |
| 9 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $42 |
| 10 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $9K |
| 12 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $1K |
| 14 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Gabriel Diallo in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 8:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciano...
This prediction market tracks whether National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo will occur, with $2.4M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
The market has seen $14K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 06, 2026 at 03:25 UTC, the leading outcome is National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo at 100% probability, with $2.4M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $2.4M, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms