National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 82% | +23% | - |
| 2 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Match O/U 21.5 | 64% | +55% | $40 |
| 3 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 57% | +75% | - |
| 4 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Match O/U 22.5 | 55% | +82% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Match O/U 23.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 10 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 2 Winner | 46% | +115% | - |
| 11 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 1 Winner | 44% | +127% | - |
| 12 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 43% | +133% | $5 |
| 13 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo | 40% | +153% | $436K |
| 14 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 34% | +194% | - |
| 15 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 34% | +199% | $121 |
| 16 | National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 24% | +326% | $140 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Gabriel Diallo in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 8:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciano...
This prediction market tracks whether National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo will occur, with $436K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $436K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 04, 2026 at 21:55 UTC, the leading outcome is National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 82% probability, with $436K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $436K, with $436K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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