The market strongly favors Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $248K |
| 4 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $3 |
| 7 | Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $18 |
| 11 | Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $3 |
| 12 | Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $4 |
| 14 | Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich Game Spread +/-3.5 | 50% | +100% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Martin Krumich in the Bari, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Will...
This prediction market tracks whether Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich will occur, with $249K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $251K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 02, 2026 at 16:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Bari: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $249K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $249K, with $251K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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