The market strongly favors Completed Match at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | - | $13 |
| 4 | Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Set 2 Winner | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $13 |
| 6 | Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | - | $10 |
| 7 | Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | - | $5 |
| 8 | Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | - | $34 |
| 9 | Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | - | $11 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Arthur Gea in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl adv...
This prediction market tracks whether Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea will occur, with $124K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Completed Match is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $124K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-24. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 18, 2026 at 00:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Completed Match at 100% probability, with $124K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $124K, with $124K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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