HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 81%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 81% | +23% | $1 |
| 2 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 21.5 | 62% | +60% | - |
| 3 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 62% | +61% | - |
| 4 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel | 56% | +77% | $21K |
| 5 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 1 Winner | 55% | +82% | $36 |
| 6 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 22.5 | 53% | +89% | $9 |
| 7 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Completed Match | 49% | +104% | - |
| 9 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 23.5 | 46% | +115% | - |
| 10 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 2 Winner | 46% | +115% | - |
| 11 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 46% | +115% | - |
| 12 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 42% | +135% | - |
| 13 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 36% | +182% | $50 |
| 14 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 35% | +186% | - |
| 15 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 32% | +208% | - |
| 16 | HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 24% | +317% | $18 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Toby Samuel in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if...
This prediction market tracks whether HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel will occur, with $17K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 81%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $16K traded in the last 24 hours alone (90% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-22. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 16, 2026 at 08:45 UTC, the leading outcome is HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 81% probability, with $17K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms