Market is split — IR Iran at 52%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IR Iran | 52% | +90% | $88K |
| 2 | Draw (IR Iran vs. New Zealand) | 28% | +264% | $17K |
| 3 | New Zealand BEST VALUE | 20% | +413% | $14K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Monday, June 15, 2026 between IR Iran and New Zealand.
This prediction market tracks whether IR Iran vs. New Zealand will occur, with $120K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with IR Iran leading at just 52%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $32K traded in the last 24 hours alone (26% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 11, 2026 at 04:25 UTC, the leading outcome is IR Iran at 52% probability, with $120K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $120K, with $32K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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