Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez

Ends Oct 14, 2026 · Volume: $22K · 24h: $13K · Updated Oct 08, 2026 at 06:55 UTC
PredScope Signal: Leaning

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.

🔥 Surging 24h volume is 60% of total — extremely active trading
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5 80% +26% -
2 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 21.5 58% +71% -
3 Completed Match 56% +80% $6K
4 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 9.5 55% +82% -
5 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Game Spread +/-0.5 53% +89% $5
6 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% +100% -
7 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 9.5 50% +100% -
8 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 10.5 50% +100% -
9 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 22.5 50% +102% $11
10 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 Winner 48% +106% -
11 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 Winner 48% +111% -
12 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez 46% +120% $17K
13 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 23.5 44% +130% $78
14 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 40% +153% $49
15 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set Handicap +/-1.5 33% +203% -
16 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE 29% +245% -
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Quick Math — $100 on Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5
Buy Price
$0.80
If Right
+$25.79
Return
+26%
If wrong, you lose your $100 investment. Prediction markets carry risk.

This market refers to the tennis match between Marcos Giron and Sebastian Baez in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marc...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez will occur, with $22K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.

Traders lean toward Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.

Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (60% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-14. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$22K
Liquidity
$174K

FAQ

What are the current odds for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez?

As of Oct 08, 2026 at 06:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Shanghai Rolex Masters: Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80% probability, with $22K in total trading volume on Polymarket.

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