Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 1 O/U 10.5 leads at 60%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 60% | +65% | - |
| 2 | Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi Match O/U 21.5 | 56% | +79% | - |
| 3 | Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi | 56% | +80% | $554 |
| 4 | Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 1 Winner | 56% | +80% | - |
| 5 | Completed Match | 54% | +85% | $14K |
| 6 | Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 2 Winner | 54% | +85% | - |
| 7 | Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 52% | +92% | - |
| 8 | Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi Game Spread +/-0.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 9 | Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi Match O/U 22.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 13 | Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi Match O/U 23.5 | 42% | +135% | - |
| 14 | Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 42% | +141% | - |
| 15 | Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 39% | +156% | - |
| 16 | Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 36% | +178% | $32 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Massimo Giunta and Federico Arnaboldi in the Bari, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Massimo Giunta...
This prediction market tracks whether Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi will occur, with $14K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 1 O/U 10.5 at 60%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 29, 2026 at 09:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Bari: Massimo Giunta vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 1 O/U 10.5 at 60% probability, with $14K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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