The market strongly favors US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Set 3 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 2 | US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 58% | +71% | $400 |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 55% | +82% | $817 |
| 4 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $681 |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 36.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 50% | +100% | $70 |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Game Spread +/-8.5 | 50% | +100% | $5 |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 38.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 40.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Set 3 Winner | 34% | +194% | - |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Set 4 Winner BEST VALUE | 25% | +300% | $570 |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur | 3% | +3409% | $44K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Guerrieri and Alex de Minaur in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Guer...
This prediction market tracks whether US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur will occur, with $47K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Set 3 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $45K traded in the last 24 hours alone (95% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 02, 2026 at 21:25 UTC, the leading outcome is US Open ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex de Minaur Set 3 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $47K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms