Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 21.5 leads at 63%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 21.5 | 63% | +59% | $199 |
| 2 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 22.5 | 56% | +80% | $214 |
| 3 | Completed Match | 53% | +89% | $580 |
| 4 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe Game Spread +/-3.5 | 50% | +98% | $112 |
| 5 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 46% | +115% | $1K |
| 12 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 23.5 | 44% | +127% | $162 |
| 13 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 36% | +182% | $13 |
| 14 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 Winner | 35% | +186% | - |
| 15 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe | 24% | +308% | $33K |
| 16 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 Winner BEST VALUE | 24% | +317% | $5 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Frances Tiafoe in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to '...
This prediction market tracks whether Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe will occur, with $36K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 21.5 at 63%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $36K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-17. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 09, 2026 at 07:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 21.5 at 63% probability, with $36K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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