The market strongly favors HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic Set 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $1K |
| 2 | HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | $69 |
| 3 | HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | $25 |
| 4 | HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +0% | $174 |
| 5 | HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic | 98% | +3% | $265K |
| 6 | HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic Set 2 Winner | 94% | +6% | $4 |
| 7 | HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $63 |
| 8 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $7 |
| 11 | HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 22.5 BEST VALUE | 50% | +102% | $15 |
| 15 | HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Ugo Humbert and Marin Cilic in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if...
This prediction market tracks whether HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic will occur, with $240K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $239K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-22. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 16, 2026 at 16:45 UTC, the leading outcome is HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $240K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $240K, with $239K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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