The market strongly favors Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 88% | +13% | - |
| 2 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 21.5 | 68% | +47% | $15 |
| 3 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 64% | +55% | - |
| 4 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 22.5 | 60% | +65% | $2K |
| 5 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 57% | +74% | $8K |
| 6 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner | 55% | +83% | - |
| 7 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 Winner | 55% | +83% | - |
| 8 | Completed Match | 54% | +87% | - |
| 9 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 10 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 11 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 12 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +102% | $44 |
| 13 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Game Spread +/-2.5 | 45% | +122% | - |
| 14 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | +147% | $733 |
| 15 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 40% | +153% | - |
| 16 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 34% | +190% | $3 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve t...
This prediction market tracks whether Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will occur, with $11K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 29, 2026 at 07:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 88% probability, with $11K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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