The market strongly favors Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou Set 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou Set 1 Winner | 100% | - | $424 |
| 2 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou | 97% | +3% | $125K |
| 4 | Completed Match BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | $7K |
| 5 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou Set 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $845 |
| 11 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $216 |
| 12 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $18 |
| 14 | Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $12 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilya Ivashka and Yi Zhou in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ivashka' if Ilya...
This prediction market tracks whether Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou will occur, with $133K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou Set 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $133K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-18. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 11, 2026 at 08:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Yi Zhou Set 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $133K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $133K, with $133K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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