The market strongly favors Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 2 | Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | $30 |
| 3 | Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 79% | +27% | $9K |
| 4 | Completed Match | 54% | +85% | - |
| 5 | Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 21.5 | 48% | +108% | $894 |
| 9 | Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 22.5 | 37% | +170% | $246 |
| 10 | Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 23.5 | 34% | +190% | $103 |
| 11 | Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner | 24% | +317% | $67 |
| 12 | Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 23% | +335% | $32 |
| 13 | Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz BEST VALUE | 6% | +1438% | $442K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karen Kh...
This prediction market tracks whether Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz will occur, with $456K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $491K traded in the last 24 hours alone (108% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 27, 2026 at 15:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $456K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $456K, with $491K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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