The market strongly favors Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Alexis Galarneau Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Alexis Galarneau Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Alexis Galarneau Set 2 Winner | 100% | +1% | - |
| 3 | Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Alexis Galarneau Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 4 | Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Alexis Galarneau Match O/U 21.5 | 90% | +10% | $4K |
| 5 | Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Alexis Galarneau | 50% | +98% | $64K |
| 6 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Alexis Galarneau Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +100% | $1K |
| 8 | Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Alexis Galarneau Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Alexis Galarneau Game Spread +/-0.5 | 50% | +100% | $2 |
| 10 | Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Alexis Galarneau Set Handicap +/-1.5 BEST VALUE | 10% | +953% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Kotov and Alexis Galarneau in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' i...
This prediction market tracks whether Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Alexis Galarneau will occur, with $69K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Alexis Galarneau Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $40K traded in the last 24 hours alone (57% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-18. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 11, 2026 at 09:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Shanghai: Pavel Kotov vs Alexis Galarneau Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $69K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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