Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads at 78%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 78% | +29% | - |
| 2 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 Winner | 65% | +54% | - |
| 3 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 21.5 | 56% | +80% | - |
| 4 | Completed Match | 52% | +92% | - |
| 5 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 52% | +92% | - |
| 6 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 7 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 8 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 9 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 22.5 | 48% | +108% | - |
| 10 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Game Spread +/-3.5 | 48% | +111% | $238 |
| 11 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Match O/U 23.5 | 43% | +133% | - |
| 12 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 42% | +135% | $175 |
| 13 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 39% | +156% | - |
| 14 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 Winner | 38% | +167% | - |
| 15 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur | 32% | +217% | $37K |
| 16 | Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE | 30% | +228% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Alex de Minaur in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Mach...
This prediction market tracks whether Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur will occur, with $38K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 78%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $22K traded in the last 24 hours alone (58% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-02. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 26, 2026 at 12:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 78% probability, with $38K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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