The market strongly favors China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | - |
| 2 | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Game Spread +/-2.5 | 94% | +6% | $28 |
| 3 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | $2K |
| 4 | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +100% | $588 |
| 5 | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $274 |
| 9 | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +100% | $176 |
| 11 | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 22.5 BEST VALUE | 5% | +1900% | $78 |
| 12 | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner | 2% | +4551% | - |
| 13 | China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta | 1% | +13233% | $46K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Pablo Carreno Busta in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will r...
This prediction market tracks whether China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta will occur, with $51K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $51K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 29, 2026 at 07:05 UTC, the leading outcome is China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $51K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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