China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Ends Oct 08, 2026 · Volume: $18K · 24h: $13K · Updated Oct 02, 2026 at 02:55 UTC
PredScope Signal: Leaning

China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.

🔥 Surging 24h volume is 71% of total — extremely active trading
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta 80% +24% $15K
2 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 Winner 74% +36% $596
3 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner 74% +36% -
4 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 71% +41% $500
5 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Game Spread +/-3.5 63% +59% $10
6 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.5 58% +72% $2K
7 Completed Match 52% +92% -
8 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 9.5 50% +98% -
9 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% +100% -
10 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.5 50% +100% -
11 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 10.5 50% +100% -
12 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.5 48% +111% $55
13 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 22.5 40% +153% -
14 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 23.5 36% +174% -
15 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.5 32% +212% $14
16 China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 10.5 BEST VALUE 28% +257% -
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Quick Math — $100 on China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta
Buy Price
$0.81
If Right
+$24.22
Return
+24%
If wrong, you lose your $100 investment. Prediction markets carry risk.

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Pablo Carreno Busta in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Danii...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta will occur, with $18K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.

Traders lean toward China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.

Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (71% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-08. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$18K
Liquidity
$180K

FAQ

What are the current odds for China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta?

As of Oct 02, 2026 at 02:55 UTC, the leading outcome is China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 80% probability, with $18K in total trading volume on Polymarket.

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