The market strongly favors HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +0% | $273 |
| 2 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +0% | $162 |
| 3 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $987 |
| 4 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov | 90% | +11% | $66K |
| 5 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 Winner | 76% | +32% | $7 |
| 6 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 52% | +90% | $8K |
| 7 | Completed Match | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +100% | $271 |
| 12 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +102% | $25 |
| 14 | HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 BEST VALUE | 44% | +127% | $233 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Denis Shapovalov in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de...
This prediction market tracks whether HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov will occur, with $75K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 8.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $75K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-24. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 17, 2026 at 13:05 UTC, the leading outcome is HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 100% probability, with $75K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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